I normally would rather avoid political issues, but I feel compelled to write about an issue which, although it has been politicized, is not, at its core related to any particular political ideology. It is a common sense issue that has been co-opted into politics by self-interested industry.
Consider a story with me. Let’s say that you are a member of a large family. You and your brothers, sisters, aunts, uncles, cousins, all their children, and your grandmother all live in town. Grandma has always been the rock and provider for the family, and Grandma lives with you and your family, and you help take care of her.
One day, during a routine check-up, Grandma’s family doctor notices some numbers are off on some of grandma’s labs. ”This could be nothing, just a natural variation that we sometimes see, but it could represent something more serious,” the doctor tells you. ”I’d like for her to see a specialist.”
So you go to see the specialist. ”I agree,” he says. ”This may be nothing, but we should watch it closely. If we see a trend, it may be a sign of something more serious.”
You take grandma home, and tell the family the news. Their reactions are mixed, some are concerned, and wonder if there’s anything that could be done preventively. Others are more skeptical.
“You know how these doctors can be,” a cousin says, “always getting you worried about one thing or another. You know Uncle Jim smoked and drank every day of his life and lived to 98! These doctors don’t know everything.”
“Yeah,” your nephew chimes in, “and who’s to say that these lab results are even abnormal for Grandma. Maybe she’s always been this way. I mean she feels fine and looks great!”
Over the next few years, grandma continues to follow with the specialist. At one of the visits, the doctor sits you down. “I’m sorry to have to tell you this, but I think that these lab abnormalities represent a real disease. It’s called homeostatic dysregulation syndrome, or HDS, and what it basically means is that you grandmother is unable to maintain the proper regulation of her body systems.”
“What causes this?” your spouse asks.
“We aren’t entirely sure, but we think that certain lifestyle habits and environmental exposures in the home play a big part,” he tells you.
“What will happen to her?” you ask.
“Well, we can’t be entirely sure of that either. Some people live with this disease for their whole lives without suffering from it very much. But for some, they have a devastating decline, with massive organ failures, and a slow and painful death. I can’t predict with 100% certainty what will happen with your grandmother.”
“What do we need to do?” your spouse asks.
The specialist goes on to explain that reversing the course of HDS is difficult, expensive, will often require some lifestyle sacrifices for the caregivers. ”And in spite of all that,” he says, “those interventions aren’t guaranteed to work. But, it’s the best modern medicine has to offer at this time.”
You go home, distressed by the news, to meet with the rest of the family. Many are concerned, asking how they can help and what they can do. But others remain skeptical. ”How do we really know she has this disease?” an uncle offers. ” She just has these abnormal laboratory tests. But she looks great! I just hope I look that good at her age!”
“I just can’t imagine that God would allow this to happen to her,” an aunt says.
“It’s true,” your brother says. ”I think we should get a second opinion.”
And so the family takes Grandma to another specialist. Unfortunately, he comes to the same conclusion as the first specialist, and offers the same advice. Still not convinced, the skeptics in the family insist on a third, and even fourth opinion. Finally, they see a doctor for a fifth opinion who tells them what they’ve been hoping to hear. His name is Dr. Kwack. “HDS is complete nonsense,” he states. ”It’s a conspiracy by the medical elite to convince people that they have a disease that they don’t have. But the bottom line is that the evidence on HDS is very shaky at best, and there are many of us in the medical profession who don’t believe it exists.”
Reassured by this news, the family continues the status quo. Although some members of the family remain concerned, the skeptics convince them that it’s just too much effort and money to implement any changes for a disease that some doctors don’t even think exists. ”And besides, even the doctors who do think it exists admit that they aren’t 100% sure of it, or that we can do anything about it,” your cousin says.
Over the next 3 or 4 years, Grandma actually does pretty well. She does start to have a few more bad days, but on the whole, she feels pretty good. You return to the family doctor with Grandma for a regular check up. ”I’m sorry to say that Grandma’s labs are way out now. I’m really concerned about HDS in her,” he tells them. ”I know you saw several specialists in this field, and one of them, Dr. Kwack, told you not to worry. But, in the last few years, research in HDS has really taken off, and even doctors who didn’t believe it existed before, do believe now. I think it’s time for you to think about making some changes to try to prevent things from getting worse.”
The family returns to Dr. Kwack, seeking further guidance. ”Well, it’s true,” he admits, “We now know that HDS probably is a real disease. Now as far as what causes it, and how to treat it–that’s totally up for debate. I for one think that lifestyle and environment have nothing to do with it. It’s all just part of a natural cycle in the body and there’s no reason to think that we can or should interfere with it.”
More of the family is now concerned, and some small changes are made in Grandma’s lifestyle. But overall, the skeptics of the family remain unconvinced. ”It’s obvious that doctors are totally split on this issue,” you brother says. ”In my opinion, HDS is definitely not caused by our lifestyle or environment, and I’m just as entitled to that opinion as any doctor!”
Two years later, you have another visit with the doctor. When he comes in with the lab results, you can see the grim concern in his face. ”Grandma’s labs are really off the charts. There’s little doubt now in my mind that she has HDS and that it is very likely to cause her serious problems in the very near future. The medical community is now almost completely in agreement on the fact that HDS is a real disease and that it is caused by the lifestyle and environment issues we’ve discussed before. I know Dr. Kwack has told you differently, but his view represents only a very small minority of specialists in the field. I really can’t urge you enough to take immediate steps to help turn this around. Otherwise, I’m almost 100% certain that Grandma will get very sick, very soon.”
What would you do at this point?
This story is meant as an allegory to the issue of man-made global climate change. Grandma is the Earth, her physicians are the climate scientists, and her family is the citizens of the Earth. For decades there has been a growing consensus among the majority of the Earth doctors: the Earth is sick, we are making it sick, but we may be able to heal it.
In the above story, it’s hard to imagine that some family members would continue to be skeptics–no, deniers–in the face of such certainty from the doctor and the medical community. Who among us, even if not 100% convinced of Grandma’s illness, would not give Grandma every chance she had? Why is the Earth so different? Is our planet any less precious than a treasured family member? Is climate science somehow less legitimate than medical science? Are they not both sciences founded in the same traditions of observation, hypothesis, and experimentation? Are climate scientists not the physicians of the Earth? Why do we trust the science that takes care of our loved ones but not the science that takes care of the Earth?
As a physician of people, I find patients or family members capable of this degree of denial to be rare birds. Most people, for right or wrong, trust what we tell them, especially when we paint a bleak outlook. I’ll even give you a real-life example: HIV. Believe it or not, there are seemingly credentialed, licensed MDs, who publish in real-ish medical journals, who deny the existence of HIV/AIDS. But in my (admittedly short) career thus far, I have never encountered patients who declined HIV testing or refused anti-viral treatment because there’s a “debate” or “controversy” in the medical community on the issue. To most of us, such an individual would be a laughable fool if the disease weren’t so tragic. But the degree of agreement among climate scientists on the reality of man-made climate change is nearly equal to the degree of agreement among physicians that HIV is a virus that infects people and causes AIDS. Sure, if this issue were taken up by a political party, all the major news outlets would cover the “controversy” and the handful HIV/AIDS denying MDs would make their rounds on all the cable news networks, having a one-on-one shouting match with some poor infectious disease doc with no media training who, out of 1000 physicians with his views, volunteered to be the one interviewed. ”There’s such a controversy and debate,” people would say. ”We just saw two doctors having it out!”
The absurdity of this degree of denialism with our imaginary HDS and the very real HIV is clear, but the situation is really no different with climate change. It seems that there will always be deniers–whether they’re holocaust deniers, moon-landing deniers, round earth deniers (yes, there are), evolution deniers, HIV deniers, or climate change deniers. But, there remains no serious debate on this issue among those who actually have expertise. The jury has come back, the verdict has been read, and the sentence passed. It’s time to move out of denial and step into reality
Posted by Matt